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The Giants are going to need to hope the numbers on the sportsbooks don’t translate to the scoreboard within the 2023 NFL season.
Although they went 9-7-1 final season and tacked on a playoff victory, the Giants’ season win complete is 7.5 at DraftKings, with the -120 vig ominously connected to the Beneath.
That’s been a well-liked play this offseason. The narrative is obvious.
Huge Blue’s document was inflated by wins over the dregs of the league — together with the Panthers, Bears, Texans and Colts. … They received numerous shut video games. … The 0-5 mixed document versus the Eagles and Cowboys and 38-7 playoff loss at Philly have been nearer to the reality. … In brief, the Giants are headed for a regression in 2023.
It’s laborious to argue with all of that, however there’s additionally this: After wandering via a wasteland of Ben McAdoo, Pat Shurmur and Joe Choose, the Giants employed the Coach of the Yr in Brian Daboll, then they stored coordinators Mike Kafka and Wink Martindale, who had interviewed for head-coaching jobs.
There’s lastly stability — and on the offensive facet, there are individuals who perceive learn how to make the most of the abilities of QB Daniel Jones.
The Giants don’t have a ton of expertise, however GM Joe Schoen has gathered sufficient to offer Daboll an opportunity.
With Saquon Barkley, Darren Waller, new deep-threat Jalin Hyatt and what appears to be like to be a reasonably robust offensive line, Jones ought to have time and choices.
This is able to make his operating expertise much more harmful, as a result of they are going to be extra of a shock than a necessity.
We’ll be taught quite a bit straight away, because the Cowboys go to MetLife Stadium beneath the lights Sunday. Dallas has received 11 of the previous 12 conferences.
The Giants are full field-goal house underdogs, a little bit of a slap. If they’re true contenders, they need to begin displaying it right here.
The primary choice of my thirtieth season in The Submit’s NFL Bettor’s Information is Giants +3.
ATLANTA FALCONS (-3.5) over Carolina Panthers
Bryce Younger performed quite a bit in preseason for Carolina and it didn’t look good, as he has a suspect offensive line and restricted weapons. Figuring rookie RB Bijan Robinson can have a direct impression for Atlanta.
BALTIMORE RAVENS (-9.5) over Houston Texans
Was within the Texans when the unfold was double digits, however now I’m targeted on Baltimore offering a tough welcome for QB C.J. Stroud and rookie coach DeMeco Ryans. Trying ahead to seeing what Zay Flowers and Odell Beckham Jr. can do with Lamar Jackson.
CLEVELAND BROWNS (+2.5) over Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is my Tremendous Bowl decide, however this can be a tough state of affairs with Joe Burrow coming off a preseason calf harm. He’s additionally simply 1-4 in 5 begins towards the Browns, who loom as a strong divisional house ’canine right here.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (+5) over Jacksonville Jaguars
One other divisional house ’canine, although I admit it’s extra of a stretch, as many peg the Colts as one of many worst groups within the NFL. There’s not a lot for brand new coach Shane Steichen and QB Anthony Richardson to work with. However the Jaguars have largely been anointed as a contender, and so they’ve been this “straightforward” recreation for months, presumably a nasty mixture.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+5.5) over MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Very similar to the Giants, the Vikings are candidates for a regression after going 13-4 regardless of a damaging level differential. You needed to see it to consider such a factor was attainable. Not a Baker Mayfield fan, however the Bucs nonetheless have the protection to maintain this tight.
Tennessee Titans (+3) over NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
With Derrick Henry and the WR combo of DeAndre Hopkins and a wholesome Treylon Burks, the Titans might look a little bit totally different for brand new offensive coordinator Tim Kelly. Undecided how Derek Carr will fare in New Orleans, however his debut received’t be straightforward as he’s lacking Alvin Kamara (suspended).
PITTSBURGH STEELERS (+2) over San Francisco 49ers
Although San Francisco has the expertise edge, this appears to be like to be an excellent fade spot. Are we actually certain Brock Purdy is best than Kenny Pickett? Will Nick Bosa and his full pockets play or contribute a lot after lacking camp? Mike Tomlin is 13-5-2 ATS all-time as a house underdog within the common season, per foxsports.com.
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (-7) over Arizona Cardinals
I’ve been grabbing the factors just about all over the place, however I can’t go there, right here. Not with Arizona seemingly in Cave for Caleb mode earlier than the season even begins. to see if Sam Howell can get the Commanders into the tip zone extra usually from the pink zone.
CHICAGO BEARS (-1) over Inexperienced Bay Packers
This shall be an enormous sea change for the Packers, going from Aaron Rodgers to Jordan Love. It doesn’t assist Love that his prime two receivers — Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson — are each coping with hamstring issues. And it’ll be laborious for the Packers protection to comprise Justin Fields and the Bears’ pace.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (+4) over Philadelphia Eagles
Invoice Belichick as a house ’canine of greater than a area aim? Um, OK! That is extra a fade of the Eagles, who should get used to 2 new coordinators. There’s additionally the Tremendous Bowl losers’ jinx — 4-19 ATS in Week 1 the previous 23 seasons per foxsports.com.
Las Vegas Raiders (+3.5) over DENVER BRONCOS
Love Sean Payton, however he is perhaps distracted by the mistaken stuff — Nathaniel Hackett, Gilligan hats, Russell Wilson kissing infants. Raiders now have reliable-when-healthy Jimmy Garoppolo to work with Josh Jacobs and Davante Adams.
Miami Dolphins (+3) over LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
Most likely the hardest recreation of the week to attempt to predict. Miami was 8-5 straight up in video games Tua Tagovailoa began however misplaced his final 4. That included a 28-10 defeat on the Chargers during which Tagovailoa went 10 of 28 for 145 yards. Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel has had many months to determine learn how to reply.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-5.5) over Los Angeles Rams
With out Cooper Kupp, this shapes up as an extended three hours for the Rams towards the Seahawks and their twelfth Man. Geno Smith is loaded with receivers as Jaxon Smith-Njigba joins DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.
MONDAY
NEW YORK JETS (+2.5) over Buffalo Payments
There are a long time value of battle scars with the Jets. Lately they’ve been horrible, however there have been instances when a few of us have purchased in, solely to get slapped down. I picked Aaron Rodgers for 2023 MVP as a result of I believe this time it’s going to work.
Betting on the NFL?
GM Joe Douglas has loaded the roster with rising stars and high quality veterans. The protection is so good, Rodgers received’t have to attain all that a lot to show among the common losses into wins. The quarterback, in flip, will assist the protection keep recent, and taking part in with leads will unleash the go rush.
Is {that a} dream sequence or the brand new actuality? We’ll start to search out out Monday evening.
BEST BETS: Commanders, Seahawks, Jets.
LOCK OF THE WEEK: Commanders (Locks completed 10-12 in 2022).
THURSDAY: Lions (W).
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